WHEAT |
(July
'00) Daily |
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Wheat was never able to move out of its potential
bull flag pattern last week and has since failed (purple circle). (News
stories.)
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COPPER |
Nearest Future
Chart (July '00) Daily |
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A head and shoulders reversal pattern was able to
quickly turn this market around. Bearish. (News
stories.)
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CBOT DOW JONES
INDUSTRIAL AVERAGE |
Nearest
Future Chart (June '00) Daily |
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The Dow Jones Industrial Average has a descending
triangle pattern in a downtrend. Volume picked up on its recent move
lower and diminished on its move up (bearish divergence). Watch this
one. It should stay beneath the red hashed line if it's bearish. (News
stories.)
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PORK BELLIES |
Nearest Future
Chart (July '00) Daily |
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The pork bellies, after a retreat from recent
highs, formed a bear flag in a downtrend (bearish) and then another
bear flag (bearish). (Notice the Relative Strength Index (RSI) also
formed a bearish flagging patterns.) (News
stories.)
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BRIDGE /
COMMODITY RESEARCH BUREAU (CRB) INDEX |
Nearest Future
Chart (June '00) Daily |
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The Bridge / CRB Index broke out of a nice
ascending triangle in an uptrend about a month and a half or so ago.
Then it broke out of a bull pennant. Now it's formed a bull flag in an
uptrend. Bullish. Watch this market. It's got a lot of potential. But
watch it also because it's a great barometer for what commodity prices
are doing in general. (It has long been used as a general inflationary
indicator.) (To learn more about the CRB Index, just e-mail us at: CRBIndex@chartpatterns.com.)
(News stories.)
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CME NASDAQ 100 |
Nearest Future
Chart (June '00) Daily |
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The Nasdaq 100, after collapsing through long term
trendline support about 2 months ago, also broke out of a bear flag in
a downtrend about a month or so ago. Recent price action has seen a
quick rebound, but pay attention. (Initial readings suggest that there
is a potential for an inverted head and shoulders to form which would
mean a retest of the lows we saw back in April.) Don't get complacent.
The big drop that was seen in late March and early April should not
have come as a surprise. The move to the downside was foreshadowed in
so many ways. Just take a look. Can you see the warning signs? (News
stories.)
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COFFEE |
(July
'00) Daily |
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Coffee continues to be one to watch.
We have been mentioning that there is no real pattern, but bullish
divergence between price and strength is suggesting a tiring bear. A
move through the orange circled area is bullish. (News
stories.)
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JAPANESE YEN |
Nearest
Future Chart (June '00) Daily |
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A head and shoulders reversal
pattern originally set the yen's dump in motion. A falling wedge took
some of the immediate bearishness off the market as it headed for a
typical return move to the underside of the broken neckline. A move
through the top of the neckline (purple circle) is bullish while
continued price action below it is bearish. (News
stories.)
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ORANGE JUICE |
(July
'00) Daily |
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Orange juice looks interesting and
still looks to be forming a base in my opinion. There appears to be a
big rectangular trading range that continues to confine the market
(sort of). A move through the top of the pattern though, should get
this thing going, while a move with impunity through the bottom,
should send it even lower. (Opinions notwithstanding, do what the
pattern says.) Again, a break through the bottom is bearish, while a
break through the top is bullish! (News
stories.)
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SOYBEANS
|
(July '00) Daily
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Bearish price and strength
divergence was apparent about a month and a half or so ago. The
breaking of the long term trendline support a few weeks ago and the
return move and subsequent turn-away shortly thereafter, foreshadowed
the resulting failure. But don't forget the big picture. See the
weekly chart below.
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SOYBEANS / Nearest
Future Chart (July '00) Weekly
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Here's a look at the weekly chart.
While the daily seems less than bullish, the 'big picture' sees an
inverted head and shoulders breakout (followed by a bullish pennant
breakout) with a typical return move to the neckline taking place.
This chart looks very bullish if you believe that the recent dump is
nothing more than a return move to the original breakout point. (The
size of the pattern suggests the bullishness isn't yet over.) (News
stories.)
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FEEDER CATTLE
|
(August '00) Daily
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A potential rising wedge the other week (black
lines) which then took the shape of a bear flag (red lines) went too
far to be considered an in-play pattern. However, until the market is
able to eclipse the top of the previous descending triangle, the
market still has bearish implications in my opinion. But I would look
for more price action for direction. (News
stories.)
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